Friday, March 05, 2010

Why health care costs are out of control

Ok, here are the details: If a medical procedure COSTS $1500 and a hospital performs 100 per year, it must collect $150,000 per year from patients for that procedure. If insurance and medicare reimburse the hospital at less than 100% of the cost, those patients that pay out of pocket must pick up the difference. The table shows a hypothetical process where the procedure cost goes up 2.5% per year, and 1% of the patients move from private insurance to medicare each year. Further, although I do not know the exact dates or amounts, I have estimated the reimbursement rates to illustrate the impact of their change on the out of pocket cost. Over the last 35 years, the numbers show why our costs have gotten out of control.




































year Procedure cost Insurance coverage Medicare coverage number of procedures Cash cost

Reimb rate
Reimb % of proc # of proc Reimb rate Reimb % of proc
# of proc
1975 1500.00 0.98
1470.00
0.75 75
0.95
1425.00 0.20
20
100 2250.00
1976 1537.50 0.98
1506.75
0.74 74
0.95

1460.63

0.21

21

100

2315.47

1977

1575.94

0.98

1544.42

0.73

73

0.95

1497.14

0.22

22

100

2382.82

1978

1615.34

0.98

1583.03

0.72

72

0.91

1469.96

0.23

23

100

2749.30

1979

1655.72

0.98

1622.60

0.71

71

0.91

1506.70

0.24

24

100

2841.21

1980

1697.11

0.96

1629.23

0.70

70

0.91

1544.37

0.25

25

100

3411.20

1981

1739.54

0.96

1669.96

0.69

69

0.91

1582.98

0.26

26

100

3513.87

1982

1783.03

0.96

1711.71

0.68

68

0.91

1622.56

0.27

27

100

3619.55

1983

1827.60

0.96

1754.50

0.67

67

0.85

1553.46

0.28

28

100

4342.39

1984

1873.29

0.96

1798.36

0.66

66

0.85

1592.30

0.29

29

100

4492.16

1985

1920.13

0.96

1843.32

0.65

65

0.85

1632.11

0.30

30

100

4646.71

1986

1968.13

0.96

1889.40

0.64

64

0.85

1672.91

0.31

31

100

4806.17

1987

2017.33

0.96

1936.64

0.63

63

0.85

1714.73

0.32

32

100

4970.71

1988

2067.77

0.96

1985.06

0.62

62

0.85

1757.60

0.33

33

100

5140.47

1989

2119.46

0.96

2034.68

0.61

61

0.85

1801.54

0.34

34

100

5315.61

1990

2172.45

0.94

2042.10

0.60

60

0.75

1629.34

0.35

35

100

7538.39

1991

2226.76

0.94

2093.15

0.59

59

0.75

1670.07

0.36

36

100

7811.47

1992

2282.43

0.94

2145.48

0.58

58

0.75

1711.82

0.37

37

100

8093.49

1993

2339.49

0.94

2199.12

0.57

57

0.75

1754.62

0.38

38

100

8384.73

1994

2397.98

0.94

2254.10

0.56

56

0.75

1798.48

0.39

39

100

8685.47

1995

2457.92

0.94

2310.45

0.55

55

0.75

1843.44

0.40

40

100

8996.00

1996

2519.37

0.94

2368.21

0.54

53

0.68

1713.17

0.41

41

100

9363.67

1997

2582.36

0.94

2427.42

0.53

52

0.68

1756.00

0.42

42

100

9709.66

1998

2646.92

0.94

2488.10

0.52

51

0.68

1799.90

0.43

43

100

10067.10

1999

2713.09

0.94

2550.30

0.51

50

0.68

1844.90

0.44

44

100

10436.35

2000

2780.92

0.90

2502.82

0.50

49

0.68

1891.02

0.45

45

100

11726.20

2001

2850.44

0.90

2565.40

0.49

48

0.68

1938.30

0.46

46

100

12123.87

2002

2921.70

0.90

2629.53

0.48

47

0.65

1899.11

0.47

47

100

13220.69

2003

2994.74

0.90

2695.27

0.47

46

0.65

1946.58

0.48

48

100

13675.99

2004

3069.61

0.90

2762.65

0.46

45

0.65

1995.25

0.49

49

100

14145.79

2005

3146.35

0.90

2831.72

0.45

44

0.65

2045.13

0.50

50

100

14630.53

2006

3225.01

0.90

2902.51

0.44

43

0.65

2096.26

0.51

51

100

15130.67

2007

3305.64

0.90

2975.07

0.43

42

0.65

2148.66

0.52

52

100

15646.67

2008

3388.28

0.90

3049.45

0.42

41

0.65

2202.38

0.53

53

100

16179.02

2009

3472.98

0.90

3125.68

0.41

40

0.60

2083.79

0.54

54

100

18291.04

2010

3559.81

0.89

3168.23

0.40

39

0.60

2135.88

0.55

55

100

19157.70




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